Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 3.391047 3.774823 4.191079 4.677214 5.230761 5.843040 6.573740
2025-04-06 2.797889 3.303123 3.890268 4.627172 5.533080 6.617769 8.025919
2025-04-13 2.326920 2.863487 3.518457 4.384568 5.511362 6.943607 8.927579
2025-04-20 2.090651 2.662543 3.389796 4.394887 5.767543 7.605493 10.302205
2025-04-27 1.938850 2.543549 3.340386 4.485280 6.118050 8.409600 11.954365
2025-05-04 1.814743 2.443496 3.298456 4.570172 6.456027 9.218972 13.707569
2025-05-11 1.699934 2.342190 3.240219 4.618182 6.735218 9.961491 15.447068
2025-05-18 1.597737 2.247625 3.179626 4.651005 6.986720 10.679631 17.235073
2025-05-25 1.464769 2.096383 3.021458 4.517172 6.958084 10.940383 18.277430
2025-06-01 1.368656 1.991722 2.923116 4.464555 7.049476 11.400189 19.720813
2025-06-08 1.288678 1.905061 2.844477 4.434142 7.170545 11.917383 21.333500
2025-06-15 1.258901 1.893245 2.880743 4.593222 7.627868 13.073149 24.331358
2025-06-22 1.191856 1.819407 2.814598 4.578031 7.784454 13.714661 26.443379
2025-06-29 1.125649 1.742463 2.737734 4.537472 7.890733 14.274392 28.481067
2025-07-06 1.029249 1.609910 2.559083 4.301881 7.609573 14.046738 28.776616
2025-07-13 0.985332 1.561636 2.519311 4.312277 7.796664 14.773207 31.326180
2025-07-20 0.958125 1.539517 2.522431 4.400741 8.143687 15.868987 34.929697
2025-07-27 0.931867 1.517128 2.523069 4.483771 8.487268 16.999809 38.832553
2025-08-03 0.901859 1.486192 2.506020 4.530720 8.760356 18.009918 42.626666
2025-08-10 0.871748 1.453146 2.482676 4.562816 9.004445 18.984799 46.522892
2025-08-17 0.821178 1.380584 2.381947 4.431945 8.881972 19.088999 48.040987
2025-08-24 0.784855 1.331856 2.322656 4.380488 8.929426 19.603982 50.831184
2025-08-31 0.753743 1.290997 2.275714 4.350745 9.022589 20.242398 54.119185